You know, we hadn't really had a true dose of Bear Raid madness since that goofy game down in Austin, so I suppose we all should have expected something roughly this absurd, right?
When Cal fell behind 24-3 midway through the 2nd quarter, their win probability was at about 8%. When the Bears started a drive from their own 6 early in the 3rd quarter, still trailing by 17, their win probability was still at 8%, because whatever value the Bears got for cutting the deficit was counteracted by the time that had passed on the clock. You need time to come back from huge deficits.